Sunday, October 23, 2016

Economic Ideas


Startups, Not Foreign Investors by Ndumba J Kamwanyah (http://www.namibian.com.na/46994/read/Startups-Not-Foreign-Investors)
I‘ d like to take the column “Indepth“ as a trigger to scrutinise economic ideas floating in the Namibian intellectual space. The fact that a respected economic expert comes up with a recommendation like this shows that the discussion about the economic improvement is in dire straits. His general assumption: “that reducing poverty through employment requires that we do the following: 1) generate employment opportunities, and 2) increase the employability of those seeking jobs“ seems very outdated to me. This is an idea of the 19.th and 20th century. Namibia tried to create jobs by attracting foreign investors and mainly by expanding the public service. The foreign investors approach didn’t work (remember Ramatex). The public service can only do so much. Job creation is not happening.
Startups would do nothing. They require clever business ideas and lots of capital. Both are not around. The women selling oshikundu and the kapana boys are not pregnant with potential and can’t be bothered with that. The banks and the well-offs invest their money in foreign businesses to get their margins. The business acumen of Namibians is modeled after the wisdom of the initial gold diggers: get rich fast and effortless. As long as connections, corruption and fraud are the way to get a house in Ludwigsdorf no-one will venture in a startup. The fact is Namibia has no business acumen at all. The government has no clue how to run an economy, except for asking for donations. It wasted the last 26 years by watching what was going on, instead of acting.
The elite of businessmen have rarely skills exceeding kuka shop level and the labour force is generally unemployable because of a lack of labour ethics. The population has no purchasing power beyond millie meal and toilet paper.
In a globalised neoliberal world on the brink of industry 4.0, where robots take over many blue and white collar jobs the crucial question is how can Africans fit in there.
I agree with Kamwanyah that the solution lies at home. Firstly there needs to be purchasing power in Namibia. That could be achieved with a generous BIG and minimum wages that allow a decent life. Economic progress is not the result of hoped for job creation, but eradication of poverty will result in economic progress and job creation. The GRN has to think in radical categories to make a difference. The ideas of yesteryear are useless. I’ d wish the line ministry would invest more in fresh ideas and experimentation than in PR stunts like Vision 2030 and NDP4. Academia must research economic strategies for the local environment instead of warming up decade old ideas from the West. Namibians need a change of mentality to succeed: from only looking good to achieving results.